And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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51–13 on winners spread MAE 7.2 64 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -12.1 168.8 15% 97–88 ✓
Clemson @ Louisville -11.8 143.5 16% 73–83 ✗
Vermont @ NJIT -8.0 140.8 20% 82–80 ✓
Dartmouth @ Columbia -3.0 144.7 37% 65–71 ✗
Buffalo @ Akron +9.8 148.4 84% 66–86 ✓
Troy @ Marshall +8.6 148.0 80% 78–88 ✓
Louisiana @ James Madison +4.8 152.6 71% 68–74 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris +1.1 141.4 58% 60–80 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton +10.6 128.8 86% 62–83 ✓
Hawai'i @ Long Beach State +2.4 145.6 61% 70–67 ✗
Idaho State @ Sacramento State +3.0 133.7 63% 65–70 ✓
North Alabama @ Eastern Kentucky +4.9 149.4 71% 98–93 ✗
Creighton @ St. John's -4.1 151.9 33% 77–67 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona +10.9 153.7 84% 68–78 ✓
Tulane @ South Florida -1.7 162.0 42% 84–66 ✓
Oregon State @ Washington +8.0 130.9 78% 47–61 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Rice +2.8 153.6 64% 77–83 ✓
Lamar @ Houston Christian +1.0 151.8 53% 74–93 ✓
Michigan State @ Michigan +1.5 135.6 59% 72–84 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Louis +2.8 145.2 63% 85–90 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +3.9 146.3 67% 66–75 ✓
Sam Houston @ Tarleton State -3.4 130.8 32% 64–59 ✓
Utah Valley @ Seattle U -1.7 144.7 44% 67–58 ✓
Western Illinois @ St. Thomas +6.6 147.7 77% 69–82 ✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts +14.6 155.5 88% 66–74 ✓
North Dakota @ Kansas City +2.0 134.9 62% 81–73 ✗
South Dakota State @ Omaha -4.3 146.6 30% 91–70 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside +0.7 139.9 51% 63–74 ✓
Jacksonville @ Lipscomb +4.2 132.4 68% 59–62 ✓
Auburn @ Vanderbilt -1.9 143.9 41% 65–67 ✗
Santa Clara @ Portland -1.8 156.2 39% 103–84 ✓
North Texas @ UTEP -6.3 124.3 23% 80–72 ✓
Penn State @ Minnesota -8.2 138.0 20% 76–69 ✓
Montana @ Montana State +5.1 132.5 71% 68–72 ✓
BYU @ Saint Mary's +12.0 135.4 87% 65–71 ✓
Stanford @ USC +7.7 145.0 79% 75–85 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +7.6 156.7 79% 88–90 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego +4.7 131.8 65% 62–75 ✓
Weber State @ Portland State +1.6 144.9 60% 65–57 ✗
California @ UCLA +22.0 129.9 91% 43–78 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +4.0 143.2 69% 73–71 ✗
Ohio State @ Purdue +9.6 140.4 82% 55–82 ✓
North Carolina @ NC State +4.7 153.9 71% 69–77 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy +16.9 155.6 90% 68–81 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +12.6 147.1 87% 53–76 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois -2.5 128.3 40% 50–48 ✓
Iona @ Saint Peter's -11.3 130.6 15% 73–53 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +3.7 141.2 67% 88–90 ✓
Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's +1.7 141.1 60% 74–75 ✓
Niagara @ Marist -0.5 129.8 45% 52–61 ✗
Manhattan @ Fairfield +4.4 132.5 67% 73–72 ✗
George Washington @ St. Bonaventure +4.5 143.1 71% 83–81 ✗
Wright State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +0.2 153.0 53% 75–77 ✓
Memphis @ Houston +13.2 145.6 87% 64–72 ✓
East Carolina @ SMU +2.8 145.1 64% 70–86 ✓
Valparaiso @ UIC +2.1 144.6 60% 73–74 ✓
Georgetown @ Butler +7.6 135.1 80% 68–62 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State +2.8 132.1 64% 63–64 ✓
Hartford @ Chicago State +13.6 134.6 87% 53–75 ✓
Belmont @ Drake +7.5 151.1 76% 56–70 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Bellarmine +6.6 146.9 77% 67–68 ✓
Maryland @ Nebraska -3.1 132.9 36% 66–70 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Furman +13.9 144.9 88% 79–83 ✓
Iowa @ Northwestern +2.6 144.7 62% 60–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.