But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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57–13 on winners spread MAE 8.7 70 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Temple @ Houston +16.2 138.5 89% 46–84 ✓
Penn State @ Illinois +11.4 138.0 87% 55–60 ✓
Michigan State @ Ohio State +4.1 146.1 68% 69–80 ✓
UIC @ Purdue Fort Wayne +6.2 150.5 74% 72–78 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +3.1 137.0 66% 59–77 ✓
Oakland @ Wright State +0.9 147.7 53% 63–75 ✓
Bucknell @ Colgate +13.5 153.8 88% 68–96 ✓
American University @ Navy +10.8 129.1 85% 64–71 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Boston University +5.3 136.5 70% 64–76 ✓
Army @ Lehigh +0.5 143.9 55% 77–91 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State +1.7 149.3 58% 53–58 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville +12.6 138.4 86% 69–79 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State +7.2 144.2 78% 67–78 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Bellarmine +1.5 148.2 54% 68–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Liberty +11.6 152.5 87% 47–52 ✓
Cincinnati @ SMU +6.9 139.4 75% 71–76 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida International -2.3 140.9 40% 71–51 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Monmouth +8.8 143.2 81% 72–75 ✓
Iona @ Manhattan -8.4 145.2 19% 72–74 ✗
Siena @ Niagara +1.7 131.9 59% 52–74 ✓
Marist @ Canisius -2.8 138.0 38% 67–78 ✗
Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State -1.5 151.2 45% 55–79 ✗
South Carolina State @ North Carolina Central +3.8 141.4 65% 62–67 ✓
Howard @ Norfolk State +5.9 144.3 75% 61–83 ✓
Morgan State @ Coppin State +1.3 148.4 55% 63–59 ✗
Delaware State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +11.9 134.0 87% 59–63 ✓
Tarleton State @ Sam Houston +3.0 129.9 65% 50–69 ✓
Rider @ Fairfield +4.2 136.3 66% 59–65 ✓
TCU @ Kansas +10.6 148.3 83% 68–72 ✓
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State +10.7 149.6 87% 67–83 ✓
UCF @ Tulane +2.3 146.6 60% 67–82 ✓
California @ Arizona State +5.9 129.9 72% 44–71 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama A&M +0.7 132.8 51% 63–71 ✓
North Texas @ UTSA -13.1 131.0 13% 59–48 ✓
Utah Tech @ Abilene Christian +12.3 145.5 87% 64–80 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +5.9 134.6 73% 70–64 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State +9.2 133.0 84% 79–87 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State +14.1 146.9 88% 69–72 ✓
Stanford @ Arizona +16.1 150.8 90% 69–81 ✓
Iowa @ Michigan +0.6 155.6 52% 82–71 ✗
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +4.5 142.7 70% 66–86 ✓
Southern @ Alabama State -4.9 148.0 26% 67–77 ✗
Memphis @ South Florida -11.6 130.7 16% 73–64 ✓
Rice @ UTEP +5.2 146.6 71% 67–70 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana State +10.7 140.3 87% 69–75 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana +1.9 151.5 60% 75–66 ✗
Southern Utah @ Idaho State -6.9 144.1 22% 79–71 ✓
Portland State @ Idaho -0.8 153.7 43% 79–68 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington +10.2 146.3 85% 62–69 ✓
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +5.0 131.7 70% 57–68 ✓
Evansville @ Valparaiso +7.2 132.3 78% 59–81 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +6.6 142.0 77% 56–73 ✓
Oregon @ Washington -1.7 145.4 44% 67–78 ✗
UC Davis @ Long Beach State +5.0 145.9 71% 65–68 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Santa Barbara +4.1 137.5 70% 60–67 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.5 137.1 56% 72–70 ✗
UC Irvine @ Cal Poly -10.4 127.7 15% 54–65 ✗
Fresno State @ San Diego State +6.7 121.0 75% 64–65 ✓
Oregon State @ Washington State +14.4 148.0 88% 67–71 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton +2.4 139.5 65% 75–72 ✗
Pepperdine @ San Diego +2.9 138.0 64% 67–74 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Longwood +7.3 139.0 78% 65–79 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +6.2 155.6 75% 65–78 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate +7.3 145.7 78% 62–72 ✓
Bradley @ Loyola Chicago +6.6 135.7 74% 50–66 ✓
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +3.5 147.9 65% 84–76 ✗
High Point @ Winthrop +4.3 147.2 69% 51–68 ✓
Ball State @ Western Michigan -1.8 147.9 41% 64–63 ✓
Buffalo @ Kent State +2.2 147.2 64% 65–70 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +16.9 164.4 89% 56–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.