Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +22 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -3.7 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -1.6 (+20.4) | 131.1 (-5.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -1.7 (+20.3) | 131.9 (-5.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -1.9 (+20.1) | 132.4 (-6.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -2.2 (+19.8) | 133.4 (-7.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#224) | -3.9 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#224) | 0.04 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#228) | -0.34 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#212) | 0.508 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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