Betting Lines
| Spread | COPP -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | COPP -2.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -0.2 (-3.8) | 148.3 (-26.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COPP -1.3 (-5.3) | 148.4 (-26.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COPP -1.7 (-5.7) | 151.3 (-29.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COPP -0.9 (-4.9) | 150.3 (-28.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MORG 70 – 66 COPP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | MORG 89 – 80 COPP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COPP 82 – 75 MORG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MORG 80 – 64 COPP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORG 78 – 60 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 13-15 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 7-6 |
| Home | 3-6 | 8-3 |
| Away | 4-16 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#313) | -9.5 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#316) | -1.79 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#318) | -2.14 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#280) | 0.435 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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