Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +9 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -1.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -1.5 (-10.5) | 149.3 (-8.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -1.9 (-10.9) | 151.5 (-10.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -1.0 (-10.0) | 153.9 (-12.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -1.5 (-10.5) | 153.2 (-12.2) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONT 95 – 89 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 57 MONT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MONT 88 – 79 UNCO |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MONT 91 – 83 UNCO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONT 86 – 78 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#241) | -2.9 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#204) | -0.18 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#202) | -0.30 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#207) | 0.521 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 28.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.