Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +20 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -5.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -4.1 (+15.9) | 138.4 (+13.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -4.5 (+15.5) | 142.7 (+9.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -4.0 (+16.0) | 143.8 (+8.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -4.3 (+15.7) | 142.3 (+9.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | PAC 65 – 59 LMU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LMU 80 – 71 PAC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PAC 83 – 58 LMU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LMU 73 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LMU 86 – 63 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 3-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#210) | -7.1 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#193) | -1.43 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#180) | -1.78 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#199) | 0.422 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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