Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
Longwood Lancers
79 – 65 OT
FINAL Neutral Hercules Tires Big South Championship
North Carolina A&T Aggies
Bojangles Coliseum (Neutral) · March 4, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread LONG -6.5 Home covered
O/U 137.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total LONG win
Actual LONG +14 144 Won
Massey LONG -8.1 (+5.9) — —
Massey Totals — 139.4 (+4.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LONG -7.1 (+6.9) 135.7 (+8.3) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LONG -7.3 (+6.7) 139.0 (+5.0) 78% ✓
Baseline ML LONG -7.5 (+6.5) 138.3 (+5.7) 75% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LONG -7.7 (+6.3) 137.5 (+6.5) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2022 NCAT 70 – 62 LONG
Jan 27, 2022 LONG 79 – 71 NCAT
Dec 8, 2020 LONG 77 – 60 NCAT

Game Analysis

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