Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | UMES -14.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -12.0 (-8.0) | 134.8 (-12.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -11.9 (-7.9) | 134.0 (-12.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -11.6 (-7.6) | 134.7 (-12.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -12.9 (-8.9) | 136.5 (-14.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DSU 57 – 56 UMES |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DSU 65 – 57 UMES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DSU 75 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DSU 73 – 66 UMES |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UMES 67 – 59 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 0-14 |
| Home | 6-4 | 2-11 |
| Away | 5-11 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L25 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.8 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#297) | -19.7 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#298) | -5.07 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#314) | -6.45 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#265) | 0.360 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 25.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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