Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +19 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -4.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -5.2 (+13.8) | 130.6 (-11.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -3.0 (+16.0) | 129.9 (-10.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -3.4 (+15.6) | 130.6 (-11.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -3.6 (+15.4) | 130.5 (-11.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | SHSU 91 – 62 TAR |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SHSU 64 – 59 TAR |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SHSU 75 – 68 TAR |
| Jan 7, 2022 | TAR 75 – 64 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#172) | -1.7 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#165) | -0.46 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#181) | -0.30 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#145) | 0.495 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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