Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +16 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -12.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -11.6 (+4.4) | 146.6 (+3.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -10.7 (+5.3) | 149.6 (+0.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -10.5 (+5.5) | 151.3 (-1.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -11.1 (+4.9) | 148.9 (+1.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | RMU 83 – 64 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | RMU 85 – 68 CLE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | RMU 68 – 59 CLE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | CLE 80 – 69 RMU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLE 73 – 71 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 5-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#178) | -10.1 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#198) | -2.54 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#201) | -2.96 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#176) | 0.431 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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