Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +28 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -16.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -18.4 (+9.6) | 152.3 (+11.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -13.5 (+14.5) | 153.8 (+10.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -14.1 (+13.9) | 154.5 (+9.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -15.0 (+13.0) | 153.8 (+10.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | COLG 78 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 21, 2025 | COLG 87 – 80 BUCK |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BUCK 66 – 60 COLG |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COLG 68 – 65 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#134) | -11.6 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#183) | -1.91 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#179) | -2.48 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#144) | 0.413 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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