Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -11.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -12.1 (-5.1) | 142.4 (-11.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -10.2 (-3.2) | 146.3 (-15.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -10.2 (-3.2) | 146.8 (-15.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -10.7 (-3.7) | 145.7 (-14.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | EWU 88 – 57 NAU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NAU 92 – 86 EWU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAU 66 – 53 EWU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NAU 87 – 67 EWU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NAU 70 – 61 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 8-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#226) | -11.9 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#213) | -1.87 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#214) | -2.28 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#204) | 0.430 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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