Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -0.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -0.0 (+8.0) | 134.7 (-0.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -0.7 (+7.3) | 132.8 (+1.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -0.8 (+7.2) | 134.5 (-0.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -0.4 (+7.6) | 135.3 (-1.3) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AAMU 77 – 63 GRAM |
| Feb 10, 2026 | AAMU 66 – 58 GRAM |
| Mar 11, 2025 | GRAM 73 – 56 AAMU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | GRAM 67 – 51 AAMU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | GRAM 72 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.4 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#335) | -9.1 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#314) | -1.60 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#320) | -1.95 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#303) | 0.445 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.7% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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