Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–12 on winners spread MAE 8.1 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Texas A&M @ Alabama +8.3 152.8 79% 87–71 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Bryant +11.6 148.5 87% 59–73 ✓
Saint Francis @ Wagner +12.0 145.0 87% 53–82 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Long Island University +8.9 155.9 81% 75–82 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Mount St. Mary's +4.3 129.8 67% 48–78 ✓
Georgetown @ Seton Hall +13.4 147.2 88% 68–73 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Marshall -1.7 154.6 41% 86–72 ✓
Old Dominion @ Louisiana Tech +9.2 138.8 81% 54–67 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte -1.6 144.9 40% 56–60 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Clemson +10.0 140.7 83% 65–68 ✓
Notre Dame @ Florida State -0.2 144.0 48% 70–74 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State +4.3 132.6 70% 53–36 ✗
Saint Louis @ Rhode Island -2.0 136.4 43% 80–74 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ La Salle -1.0 138.9 47% 48–49 ✗
Fordham @ Massachusetts +1.4 146.5 58% 73–81 ✓
Duquesne @ George Washington +5.1 135.7 71% 93–98 ✓
George Mason @ Davidson +8.8 140.5 82% 62–73 ✓
Rutgers @ Indiana +5.5 134.6 69% 66–63 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee State +2.1 136.9 58% 62–77 ✓
UAB @ Southern Miss -13.2 146.4 13% 81–68 ✓
Houston Christian @ LSU New Orleans +10.3 151.8 85% 74–75 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Lamar -4.0 142.1 30% 67–63 ✓
UConn @ Creighton -2.4 142.5 42% 62–64 ✗
Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -0.0 147.5 49% 86–75 ✓
Auburn @ Mississippi State -3.6 141.4 31% 81–68 ✓
LSU @ Arkansas +3.1 139.1 64% 76–77 ✓
Presbyterian @ Campbell +2.3 128.5 60% 72–75 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulsa -2.0 138.7 41% 72–62 ✓
Marquette @ DePaul -0.7 148.7 46% 80–91 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ New Mexico State +6.4 139.1 72% 73–71 ✗
NC State @ Wake Forest +11.5 152.5 87% 76–101 ✓
Miami @ Boston College -3.4 144.4 33% 81–70 ✓
Minnesota @ Maryland +6.0 137.1 73% 73–84 ✓
Chicago State @ California Baptist +11.3 140.1 87% 53–62 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Austin Peay +0.1 140.1 49% 78–51 ✗
Wyoming @ UNLV +1.4 139.9 53% 57–64 ✓
UT Arlington @ Louisiana +1.6 137.9 58% 64–67 ✓
Little Rock @ South Alabama +11.2 137.0 84% 75–71 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Hartford +1.3 141.2 56% 83–73 ✗
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State +4.7 140.0 69% 77–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.