Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +10 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | HART -1.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -0.3 (-10.3) | 143.0 (+13.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -0.7 (-10.7) | 140.2 (+15.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -1.3 (-11.3) | 141.2 (+14.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HART -0.8 (-10.8) | 142.4 (+13.6) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2023 | UML 70 – 48 HART |
| Feb 7, 2022 | UML 85 – 75 HART |
| Mar 13, 2021 | HART 64 – 50 UML |
| Jan 10, 2021 | HART 75 – 58 UML |
| Jan 9, 2021 | UML 71 – 62 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#271) | -4.7 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#296) | -1.28 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#301) | -1.67 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#257) | 0.451 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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