Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | HART -110 UML +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +14 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | HART -4.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -4.9 (+9.1) | 135.1 (-21.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -3.2 (+10.8) | 134.7 (-20.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -4.3 (+9.7) | 138.6 (-24.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HART -4.4 (+9.6) | 137.5 (-23.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2023 | UML 70 – 48 HART |
| Mar 3, 2022 | UML 83 – 73 HART |
| Feb 7, 2022 | UML 85 – 75 HART |
| Jan 10, 2021 | HART 75 – 58 UML |
| Jan 9, 2021 | UML 71 – 62 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-8 |
| Home | 10-1 | 3-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#181) | -2.5 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#177) | -0.50 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#176) | -0.64 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#122) | 0.498 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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