Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | HART +800 UML -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +22 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -17.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -11.3 (-10.7) | 136.5 (-18.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -13.0 (-9.0) | 136.2 (-18.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -12.5 (-9.5) | 140.3 (-22.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -11.9 (-10.1) | 140.5 (-22.5) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | UML 83 – 73 HART |
| Feb 7, 2022 | UML 85 – 75 HART |
| Mar 13, 2021 | HART 64 – 50 UML |
| Jan 10, 2021 | HART 75 – 58 UML |
| Jan 9, 2021 | UML 71 – 62 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-23 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 11-5 |
| Home | 5-10 | 17-0 |
| Away | 0-11 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -19.5 (#362) | 1.8 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#360) | 0.24 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.79 (#360) | 0.27 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.348 (#363) | 0.530 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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