Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +17 | 89 | Lost |
| Massey | ISU -3.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (-40.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -2.3 (-19.3) | 128.3 (-39.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -4.3 (-21.3) | 132.6 (-43.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -4.5 (-21.5) | 134.0 (-45.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -4.2 (-21.2) | 133.0 (-44.0) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | ISU 84 – 71 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | ISU 83 – 71 OKST |
| Feb 26, 2025 | OKST 74 – 68 ISU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | ISU 66 – 42 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2023 | OKST 64 – 56 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#39) | 10.2 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#24) | 1.30 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#25) | 1.90 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#81) | 0.534 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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