Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +25 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -11.9 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -9.1 (+15.9) | 155.7 (+21.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -11.5 (+13.5) | 152.5 (+24.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -11.4 (+13.6) | 155.3 (+21.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -11.5 (+13.5) | 155.2 (+21.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NCSU 96 – 78 WAKE |
| Dec 31, 2025 | NCSU 70 – 57 WAKE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NCSU 85 – 73 WAKE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WAKE 77 – 59 NCSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | WAKE 83 – 79 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-16 |
| Home | 18-2 | 7-10 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#32) | 2.4 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#47) | -0.08 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#48) | 0.21 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#82) | 0.477 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.