Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | NCSU -600 WAKE +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +13 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -10.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.9 (-38.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -10.9 (+2.1) | 158.2 (-31.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -7.6 (+5.4) | 157.8 (-30.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -9.9 (+3.1) | 156.8 (-29.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -11.0 (+2.0) | 155.8 (-28.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NCSU 96 – 78 WAKE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NCSU 85 – 73 WAKE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WAKE 77 – 59 NCSU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | WAKE 83 – 79 NCSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | NCSU 83 – 76 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-7 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#26) | 9.9 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#60) | 1.47 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#45) | 1.88 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#80) | 0.548 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.