Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +13 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -20.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -14.3 (+1.3) | 145.5 (+3.5) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -13.2 (+0.2) | 146.4 (+2.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -15.7 (+2.7) | 146.6 (+2.4) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -15.5 (+2.5) | 146.5 (+2.5) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | UAB 98 – 84 USM |
| Dec 2, 2023 | USM 85 – 82 UAB |
| Mar 14, 2023 | UAB 88 – 60 USM |
| Feb 11, 2022 | UAB 84 – 63 USM |
| Jan 9, 2021 | UAB 62 – 58 USM |
Game Analysis
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