Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -23.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -10000 USM +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +21 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -26.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -22.9 (-1.9) | 143.5 (+3.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -22.4 (-1.4) | 143.6 (+3.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -24.0 (-3.0) | 144.9 (+2.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -24.4 (-3.4) | 143.9 (+3.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | UAB 98 – 84 USM |
| Dec 2, 2023 | USM 85 – 82 UAB |
| Mar 14, 2023 | UAB 88 – 60 USM |
| Mar 3, 2022 | UAB 81 – 68 USM |
| Jan 9, 2021 | UAB 62 – 58 USM |
Game Analysis
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