Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | UAB -1300 USM +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +4 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -21.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -17.0 (-13.0) | 129.9 (-9.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -18.1 (-14.1) | 132.3 (-12.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -18.9 (-14.9) | 132.4 (-12.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -19.8 (-15.8) | 135.3 (-15.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | UAB 98 – 84 USM |
| Dec 2, 2023 | USM 85 – 82 UAB |
| Mar 14, 2023 | UAB 88 – 60 USM |
| Mar 3, 2022 | UAB 81 – 68 USM |
| Feb 11, 2022 | UAB 84 – 63 USM |
Game Analysis
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