Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +7 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -0.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -0.1 (+6.9) | 138.1 (-17.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -1.4 (+5.6) | 139.9 (-18.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -1.5 (+5.5) | 140.5 (-19.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -1.2 (+5.8) | 139.1 (-18.1) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | UNLV 73 – 70 WYO |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WYO 98 – 66 UNLV |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNLV 68 – 57 WYO |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WYO 63 – 61 UNLV |
| Feb 28, 2024 | UNLV 75 – 69 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#89) | 9.4 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#80) | 2.46 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#77) | 2.73 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#89) | 0.604 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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