Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -10.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -9.6 (-8.6) | 149.0 (+0.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -10.3 (-9.3) | 151.8 (-2.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -9.9 (-8.9) | 152.5 (-3.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -9.7 (-8.7) | 151.4 (-2.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NOLA 73 – 60 HCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | HCU 61 – 60 NOLA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | HCU 85 – 76 NOLA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HCU 81 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | HCU 86 – 76 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 6-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#248) | -12.9 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#254) | -2.35 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#248) | -2.72 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#230) | 0.411 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.