Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +11 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -0.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -1.3 (-9.7) | 151.2 (+9.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -0.0 (-11.0) | 147.5 (+13.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -0.1 (-11.1) | 150.3 (+10.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -0.1 (-11.1) | 150.2 (+10.8) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 11-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#250) | -1.9 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#258) | -0.50 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#261) | -0.73 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#286) | 0.519 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 12.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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