Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -3.9 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -2.8 (+13.8) | 145.2 (-0.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -1.7 (+12.7) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -1.8 (+12.8) | 145.2 (-0.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -1.8 (+12.8) | 145.5 (-0.5) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ORE 85 – 79 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2026 | WASH 72 – 57 ORE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ORE 80 – 73 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ORE 82 – 71 WASH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ORE 85 – 80 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#127) | 9.1 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#104) | 1.67 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#107) | 2.08 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#121) | 0.570 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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