Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | MORE -350 TNTC +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -7.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -8.2 (+8.8) | 140.5 (-11.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -6.6 (+10.4) | 142.0 (-13.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -6.9 (+10.1) | 143.8 (-14.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -7.4 (+9.6) | 141.1 (-12.1) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MORE 73 – 66 TNTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MORE 76 – 70 TNTC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | TNTC 72 – 64 MORE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TNTC 74 – 55 MORE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MORE 67 – 60 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#130) | -4.9 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#126) | -1.61 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#131) | -1.81 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#109) | 0.444 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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