Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +14 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -1.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -1.3 (+15.3) | 142.6 (+25.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -0.5 (+13.5) | 143.9 (+24.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -0.4 (+13.6) | 144.6 (+23.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -0.2 (+13.8) | 143.5 (+24.5) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | ARMY 67 – 64 LEH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | ARMY 85 – 78 LEH |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LEH 89 – 67 ARMY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ARMY 74 – 69 LEH |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LEH 85 – 54 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#300) | -7.1 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#309) | -1.12 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#316) | -1.55 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#313) | 0.471 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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