Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +8 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -11.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+37.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -9.9 (-1.9) | 134.4 (+31.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -9.2 (-1.2) | 133.0 (+33.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -10.0 (-2.0) | 133.8 (+32.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -10.1 (-2.1) | 133.1 (+32.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | JKST 81 – 78 UAPB |
| Feb 9, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 63 JKST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JKST 76 – 69 UAPB |
| Feb 11, 2025 | JKST 94 – 78 UAPB |
| Mar 8, 2024 | JKST 89 – 84 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-15 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#280) | -15.9 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#300) | -2.84 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#299) | -3.49 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#273) | 0.410 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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