Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -5.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -4.3 (-1.3) | 144.9 (-11.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -5.0 (-2.0) | 145.9 (-12.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -5.2 (-2.2) | 146.4 (-13.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -5.0 (-2.0) | 147.5 (-14.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCD 76 – 70 LBSU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UCD 71 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UCD 73 – 65 LBSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LBSU 84 – 73 UCD |
| Mar 17, 2024 | LBSU 74 – 70 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 5-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#157) | -2.4 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#130) | -0.31 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#126) | -0.53 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#91) | 0.468 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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