Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | CSUB -155 UCSD +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -1.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -1.8 (-3.8) | 134.4 (+7.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -0.5 (-2.5) | 137.1 (+4.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -0.8 (-2.8) | 138.9 (+3.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -0.7 (-2.7) | 136.4 (+5.6) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCSD 84 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UCSD 83 – 62 CSUB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCSD 73 – 54 CSUB |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCSD 81 – 60 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUB 70 – 57 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 0-0 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#269) | -5.3 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#307) | -0.84 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#306) | -0.79 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#312) | 0.446 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 18.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.8% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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