Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +11 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -10.9 (+21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -9.9 (+20.9) | 125.5 (-6.5) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -10.4 (+21.4) | 127.7 (-8.7) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -9.1 (+20.1) | 126.1 (-7.1) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.8 (+19.8) | 125.7 (-6.7) | 19% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCI 107 – 85 CP |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CP 79 – 73 UCI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCI 96 – 78 CP |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UCI 101 – 71 CP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCI 98 – 89 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-21 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 9-5 |
| Home | 4-7 | 9-1 |
| Away | 2-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 61.4 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#312) | 4.1 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#332) | 0.74 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#323) | 0.81 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#339) | 0.542 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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