Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | BU -6.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -4.5 (+7.5) | 134.0 (+6.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -5.3 (+6.7) | 136.5 (+3.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -4.9 (+7.1) | 137.8 (+2.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -5.7 (+6.3) | 136.1 (+3.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BU 78 – 69 L-MD |
| Jan 17, 2026 | L-MD 74 – 57 BU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BU 68 – 66 L-MD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | L-MD 69 – 67 BU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BU 82 – 79 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#211) | -5.6 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#211) | -1.27 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#218) | -1.55 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#197) | 0.452 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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