Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +11 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -4.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -6.0 (+5.0) | 133.3 (-8.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -5.0 (+6.0) | 131.7 (-6.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -5.2 (+5.8) | 132.7 (-7.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -5.2 (+5.8) | 131.8 (-6.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2025 | GCU 89 – 82 UVU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | GCU 75 – 57 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UVU 72 – 64 GCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GCU 86 – 67 UVU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GCU 78 – 65 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.0 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#98) | 4.1 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#99) | 0.88 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#97) | 1.10 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#107) | 0.552 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.