Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -3.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -4.3 (+6.7) | 143.0 (+6.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -4.1 (+6.9) | 146.1 (+2.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -4.1 (+6.9) | 147.8 (+1.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -4.7 (+6.3) | 142.8 (+6.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MSU 66 – 60 OSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSU 69 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | OSU 60 – 57 MSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | OSU 68 – 58 MSU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MSU 84 – 78 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#24) | 11.3 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#34) | 2.33 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#34) | 2.83 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#31) | 0.592 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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