Coastal Carolina
Chanticleers
64
–
70
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Sun Belt
Georgia Southern
Eagles
Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +6 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -6.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -5.7 (-11.7) | 131.9 (+2.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -5.9 (-11.9) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -5.5 (-11.5) | 133.9 (+0.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -5.4 (-11.4) | 132.0 (+2.0) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | GASO 96 – 72 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 GASO |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GASO 82 – 81 CCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GASO 85 – 58 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | GASO 88 – 87 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#145) | -5.2 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#160) | -0.62 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#154) | -1.02 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#141) | 0.452 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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