Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -4.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -4.1 (-12.1) | 148.7 (+11.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -3.5 (-11.5) | 147.9 (+12.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -3.6 (-11.6) | 148.9 (+11.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -3.4 (-11.4) | 148.2 (+11.8) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | ETSU 83 – 76 CIT |
| Jan 24, 2026 | ETSU 84 – 55 CIT |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ETSU 74 – 49 CIT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | ETSU 81 – 66 CIT |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ETSU 70 – 52 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#181) | -5.4 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#158) | -0.61 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#163) | -0.86 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#133) | 0.468 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.