Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +18 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -3.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -3.7 (+14.3) | 137.5 (-1.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -3.1 (+14.9) | 137.0 (-1.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -2.8 (+15.2) | 138.7 (-2.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -2.5 (+15.5) | 137.8 (-1.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DETM 90 – 77 NKU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | NKU 96 – 71 DETM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | NKU 99 – 75 DETM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | DETM 68 – 57 NKU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | NKU 73 – 60 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-1 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#212) | -3.0 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#220) | -0.77 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#229) | -0.95 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#206) | 0.496 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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