Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | KU -10.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -10.3 (-6.3) | 144.3 (-4.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -10.6 (-6.6) | 148.3 (-8.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -10.4 (-6.4) | 148.1 (-8.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -10.3 (-6.3) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | KU 78 – 73 TCU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 100 TCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | KU 74 – 61 TCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | KU 83 – 81 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2023 | KU 63 – 58 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 19-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#8) | 10.3 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#7) | 2.34 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.13 (#6) | 2.86 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.652 (#1) | 0.554 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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