Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -10.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -8.3 (+10.3) | 144.9 (+1.1) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -8.4 (+10.4) | 145.2 (+0.8) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -7.9 (+9.9) | 149.2 (-3.2) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -8.3 (+10.3) | 147.6 (-1.6) | 22% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-0 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#268) | 6.8 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#219) | 1.93 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#231) | 2.03 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#252) | 0.620 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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