Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -4.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -5.4 (+1.6) | 134.2 (-7.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -4.1 (+2.9) | 137.5 (-10.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -4.2 (+2.8) | 138.7 (-11.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -4.1 (+2.9) | 135.6 (-8.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | HAW 78 – 75 UCSB |
| Jan 18, 2026 | UCSB 77 – 62 HAW |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSB 76 – 72 HAW |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCSB 64 – 61 HAW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UCSB 77 – 71 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 8-5 | 10-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#132) | 0.2 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#201) | -0.03 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#184) | 0.08 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#227) | 0.495 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.