Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +12 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -0.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -3.0 (+9.0) | 149.0 (-11.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -0.9 (+11.1) | 147.7 (-9.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -0.5 (+11.5) | 148.1 (-10.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -0.8 (+11.2) | 149.1 (-11.1) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | WRST 94 – 84 OAK |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WRST 88 – 73 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | WRST 66 – 62 OAK |
| Dec 6, 2024 | OAK 66 – 64 WRST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WRST 96 – 75 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 15-7 | 12-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#202) | 0.3 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#229) | 0.07 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#216) | -0.17 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#194) | 0.539 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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