Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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49–15 on winners spread MAE 7.6 64 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -13.3 170.0 11% 97–88 ✓
Clemson @ Louisville -12.1 138.9 14% 73–83 ✗
Vermont @ NJIT -9.1 135.6 21% 82–80 ✓
Dartmouth @ Columbia -3.1 140.5 39% 65–71 ✗
Buffalo @ Akron +10.0 146.7 82% 66–86 ✓
Troy @ Marshall +9.2 148.8 80% 78–88 ✓
Louisiana @ James Madison +5.3 155.9 68% 68–74 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris +2.1 140.0 58% 60–80 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton +12.8 120.0 88% 62–83 ✓
Hawai'i @ Long Beach State +2.5 144.7 59% 70–67 ✗
Idaho State @ Sacramento State +4.3 133.1 65% 65–70 ✓
North Alabama @ Eastern Kentucky +7.9 151.7 76% 98–93 ✗
Creighton @ St. John's -6.9 153.3 26% 77–67 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona +10.8 153.9 84% 68–78 ✓
Tulane @ South Florida -0.4 159.8 49% 84–66 ✓
Oregon State @ Washington +9.4 129.2 80% 47–61 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Rice +3.5 155.9 62% 77–83 ✓
Lamar @ Houston Christian +2.9 153.9 60% 74–93 ✓
Michigan State @ Michigan +0.9 134.9 53% 72–84 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Louis +3.6 147.0 63% 85–90 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +3.5 147.8 62% 66–75 ✓
Sam Houston @ Tarleton State -5.2 127.7 32% 64–59 ✓
Utah Valley @ Seattle U -1.4 140.6 45% 67–58 ✓
Western Illinois @ St. Thomas +8.6 145.2 78% 69–82 ✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts +16.8 155.8 94% 66–74 ✓
North Dakota @ Kansas City +4.4 131.1 66% 81–73 ✗
South Dakota State @ Omaha -4.4 143.6 34% 91–70 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside -0.1 136.6 50% 63–74 ✗
Jacksonville @ Lipscomb +6.4 130.0 72% 59–62 ✓
Auburn @ Vanderbilt -4.1 140.7 35% 65–67 ✗
Santa Clara @ Portland -1.5 156.9 44% 103–84 ✓
North Texas @ UTEP -5.6 113.3 31% 80–72 ✓
Penn State @ Minnesota -9.1 134.7 20% 76–69 ✓
Montana @ Montana State +6.4 129.8 72% 68–72 ✓
BYU @ Saint Mary's +13.7 128.0 89% 65–71 ✓
Stanford @ USC +7.3 141.1 75% 75–85 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +9.3 153.9 80% 88–90 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego +5.2 129.8 68% 62–75 ✓
Weber State @ Portland State +2.7 142.6 60% 65–57 ✗
California @ UCLA +25.5 122.7 99% 43–78 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +5.2 138.3 68% 73–71 ✗
Ohio State @ Purdue +9.4 139.4 80% 55–82 ✓
North Carolina @ NC State +3.8 155.1 63% 69–77 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy +19.7 152.2 96% 68–81 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +15.1 144.8 91% 53–76 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois -2.5 121.5 41% 50–48 ✓
Iona @ Saint Peter's -12.3 130.1 13% 73–53 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +5.6 141.3 69% 88–90 ✓
Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's +2.6 137.5 59% 74–75 ✓
Niagara @ Marist -0.8 123.1 47% 52–61 ✗
Manhattan @ Fairfield +6.7 132.0 73% 73–72 ✗
George Washington @ St. Bonaventure +6.2 143.9 71% 83–81 ✗
Wright State @ Purdue Fort Wayne -0.0 153.0 50% 75–77 ✗
Memphis @ Houston +16.4 140.3 93% 64–72 ✓
East Carolina @ SMU +4.5 141.9 66% 70–86 ✓
Valparaiso @ UIC +3.0 141.7 61% 73–74 ✓
Georgetown @ Butler +9.6 137.6 81% 68–62 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State +4.1 125.1 65% 63–64 ✓
Hartford @ Chicago State +16.5 132.5 93% 53–75 ✓
Belmont @ Drake +7.7 148.1 76% 56–70 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Bellarmine +7.9 145.1 76% 67–68 ✓
Maryland @ Nebraska -4.8 130.6 33% 66–70 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Furman +14.3 143.9 90% 79–83 ✓
Iowa @ Northwestern +1.9 147.0 57% 60–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.