Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–23 on winners spread MAE 10.0 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Michigan @ Miami (OH) +9.5 149.7 82% 83–69 ✗
Temple @ Memphis +9.5 140.3 82% 64–78 ✓
Marshall @ Middle Tennessee +13.1 153.1 86% 65–74 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Old Dominion -0.9 135.8 45% 51–70 ✗
Florida International @ Charlotte +5.9 146.2 71% 55–64 ✓
Bryant @ St. Francis Brooklyn -1.6 148.2 40% 86–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Sacred Heart -1.5 136.5 38% 65–77 ✗
Merrimack @ Long Island University +4.9 136.7 70% 74–85 ✓
Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut +0.9 136.5 50% 79–63 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Winthrop +10.3 148.7 83% 59–89 ✓
Youngstown State @ Wright State +3.7 148.1 66% 71–84 ✓
Robert Morris @ Northern Kentucky +10.1 140.7 84% 64–78 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +6.1 145.5 74% 81–70 ✗
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy -0.1 147.8 48% 67–74 ✗
Omaha @ Western Illinois +12.0 158.8 87% 76–88 ✓
Elon @ Hofstra +14.1 148.4 89% 81–55 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Drexel +5.0 143.5 71% 69–63 ✗
Charleston @ Delaware +4.6 152.4 71% 99–96 ✗
Siena @ Quinnipiac +1.6 141.8 58% 78–71 ✗
Maryland @ Indiana +6.1 138.8 72% 64–74 ✓
Sam Houston @ Stephen F. Austin +6.1 135.9 72% 67–69 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois -8.9 149.4 18% 79–68 ✓
DePaul @ Georgetown -3.1 149.4 34% 68–65 ✓
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri State +5.4 154.1 70% 69–76 ✓
UAB @ UTSA -12.8 148.6 14% 68–56 ✓
Southern Miss @ North Texas +22.9 129.2 91% 61–85 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Rice -1.7 154.2 42% 83–79 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona +3.6 134.0 62% 70–66 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado +3.1 156.7 68% 85–76 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian +4.0 144.0 66% 68–82 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Valley +1.9 138.4 59% 52–67 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Tarleton State +8.0 141.6 80% 62–75 ✓
Lamar @ Abilene Christian +14.6 145.4 89% 42–77 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -7.3 122.6 22% 66–54 ✓
Green Bay @ UIC +7.6 138.9 77% 77–81 ✓
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -3.4 163.9 33% 106–102 ✓
South Dakota @ Kansas City +2.5 146.8 64% 63–72 ✓
Denver @ St. Thomas +2.3 147.8 59% 91–80 ✗
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois -14.0 127.9 13% 82–46 ✓
Nicholls @ Northwestern State -6.6 155.5 23% 80–62 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese -0.1 149.2 48% 65–53 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -5.4 155.4 28% 89–73 ✓
Ohio State @ Illinois +5.5 143.9 70% 86–83 ✗
Belmont @ Murray State +6.7 142.6 74% 43–76 ✓
Arizona State @ Colorado +6.9 136.4 76% 82–65 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -1.1 137.2 50% 76–69 ✓
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech +4.9 143.7 69% 92–56 ✗
Austin Peay @ SIU Edwardsville +1.1 134.1 57% 68–64 ✗
Montana @ Southern Utah +5.6 148.4 74% 74–82 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana -1.1 158.2 47% 79–84 ✗
California Baptist @ Utah Tech -0.5 143.1 50% 71–61 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon -4.1 142.5 30% 63–68 ✗
Saint Mary's @ San Diego -11.4 134.0 15% 60–46 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside +9.3 133.1 84% 57–79 ✓
UC San Diego @ Long Beach State +8.3 145.5 81% 87–103 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -0.4 131.1 47% 64–66 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State -2.9 149.9 35% 75–81 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State -0.3 145.9 46% 51–83 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ BYU +12.8 148.8 87% 59–79 ✓
Portland @ Pacific -4.3 143.8 32% 75–69 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pepperdine -11.0 158.7 16% 89–73 ✓
Arizona @ Utah -11.7 153.2 16% 97–77 ✓
USC @ Oregon State -11.7 140.7 15% 94–91 ✓
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +10.4 132.8 86% 54–63 ✓
Akron @ Ohio +7.1 133.5 78% 91–83 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.