I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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47–22 on winners spread MAE 8.0 69 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida State @ North Carolina +15.4 151.0 88% 66–79 ✓
Duquesne @ Davidson +3.6 148.3 66% 89–83 ✗
Temple @ Charlotte +1.2 141.7 58% 76–73 ✗
Seton Hall @ Marquette -8.8 134.1 20% 79–73 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wisconsin +14.4 152.5 86% 60–80 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Miami +11.0 145.4 86% 69–76 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green +4.2 146.0 68% 93–83 ✗
South Carolina State @ Tennessee +34.9 146.0 91% 54–105 ✓
Massachusetts @ Eastern Michigan +1.1 141.5 57% 74–80 ✓
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech +1.9 148.1 60% 88–76 ✗
New Hampshire @ Nebraska +28.8 136.9 91% 55–86 ✓
Louisville @ California -4.2 151.8 38% 90–70 ✓
Nevada @ Colorado State +2.9 147.6 55% 75–62 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine -11.2 136.6 17% 72–45 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State -12.1 145.6 19% 72–63 ✓
Notre Dame @ Stanford +3.1 146.2 69% 47–40 ✗
Butler @ Creighton +2.7 149.6 69% 85–89 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Diego -16.8 149.6 15% 99–93 ✓
Washington State @ Seattle U +5.4 136.9 73% 55–69 ✓
Santa Clara @ Portland -9.8 148.4 21% 92–85 ✓
San Francisco @ Oregon State -2.8 141.9 35% 62–70 ✗
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +3.8 134.4 64% 71–80 ✓
San Diego State @ San José State -6.7 145.5 31% 81–68 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State +3.8 141.3 67% 53–62 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Rhode Island +15.3 141.5 86% 61–57 ✗
Tulane @ East Carolina -0.4 138.4 43% 79–70 ✓
Army @ Lehigh +2.4 144.6 63% 85–78 ✗
Wake Forest @ NC State +11.0 155.8 84% 57–70 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +2.2 147.5 68% 72–74 ✓
Lamar @ East Texas A&M +0.7 141.2 45% 69–62 ✗
UTSA @ Florida Atlantic +16.8 147.7 89% 70–110 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ American University +8.9 150.7 75% 69–84 ✓
Boston University @ Navy +4.7 140.7 68% 77–82 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois -7.0 147.9 28% 81–67 ✓
Wofford @ Western Carolina -2.1 145.3 40% 79–74 ✓
South Alabama @ Louisiana -4.5 128.1 33% 63–58 ✓
Virginia @ Virginia Tech -0.3 151.6 53% 85–95 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ VCU +10.5 152.6 81% 82–89 ✓
George Mason @ La Salle -9.6 136.5 21% 80–75 ✓
Fordham @ Dayton +11.3 135.4 85% 56–63 ✓
Rice @ Tulsa +19.5 152.6 89% 48–97 ✓
Bucknell @ Holy Cross +1.8 135.8 58% 58–65 ✓
Radford @ South Carolina Upstate +5.1 153.5 74% 76–69 ✗
High Point @ UNC Asheville -8.0 151.0 29% 87–69 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb -13.6 152.5 13% 89–79 ✓
Clemson @ Syracuse +0.7 138.7 53% 64–61 ✗
NJIT @ Pennsylvania +12.2 140.9 89% 61–80 ✓
Charleston @ Elon +5.5 152.5 64% 85–81 ✗
Campbell @ Monmouth +2.2 146.6 60% 68–65 ✗
Stony Brook @ William & Mary +12.3 145.7 85% 57–76 ✓
Texas State @ Troy +10.8 150.6 84% 80–100 ✓
App State @ Old Dominion +1.6 133.2 57% 81–73 ✗
Towson @ Hampton -2.2 133.3 34% 62–63 ✗
Colgate @ Lafayette -5.8 147.2 29% 85–77 ✓
Winthrop @ Longwood -7.8 157.1 24% 70–82 ✗
Northeastern @ North Carolina A&T +0.8 146.4 52% 85–74 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Duke +22.4 147.6 90% 79–85 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Saint Louis +23.5 152.3 90% 79–102 ✓
George Washington @ Richmond +2.7 153.7 69% 99–85 ✗
North Texas @ Memphis +9.1 129.9 77% 48–57 ✓
Wichita State @ UAB +1.4 143.2 58% 75–70 ✗
Kansas City @ Denver +9.6 151.3 79% 74–87 ✓
Georgia State @ Marshall +12.6 143.5 87% 80–84 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Northwestern State -11.4 140.4 18% 74–64 ✓
New Orleans @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +2.1 141.0 61% 69–83 ✓
UConn @ Xavier -10.6 138.7 16% 90–67 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota State +11.1 154.0 87% 61–84 ✓
Nicholls @ UT Rio Grande Valley +4.0 142.4 67% 71–69 ✗
DePaul @ Villanova +12.9 136.2 85% 66–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.