Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -166 WICH +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -0.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -1.7 (-6.7) | 140.6 (+4.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -2.7 (-7.7) | 142.0 (+3.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -1.4 (-6.4) | 143.2 (+1.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -1.9 (-6.9) | 143.8 (+1.2) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | UAB 80 – 72 WICH |
| Mar 15, 2024 | UAB 72 – 60 WICH |
| Feb 29, 2024 | WICH 74 – 66 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-9 | 15-3 |
| Away | 10-2 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#104) | 8.6 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#152) | 0.38 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#128) | 0.67 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#208) | 0.515 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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