Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -110 UAB -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -2.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -0.4 (-8.4) | 152.9 (-0.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -2.6 (-10.6) | 153.6 (-1.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -2.1 (-10.1) | 153.9 (-1.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -1.1 (-9.1) | 155.2 (-3.2) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | WICH 75 – 70 UAB |
| Mar 15, 2024 | UAB 72 – 60 WICH |
| Feb 29, 2024 | WICH 74 – 66 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#125) | 3.5 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#117) | 0.46 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#120) | 0.47 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#120) | 0.529 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 15.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 39.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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