Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UAB -350 WICH +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +8 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -6.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -7.3 (-15.3) | 145.7 (-5.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -6.0 (-14.0) | 145.6 (-5.6) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -6.5 (-14.5) | 146.4 (-6.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -6.4 (-14.4) | 147.8 (-7.8) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | WICH 75 – 70 UAB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UAB 80 – 72 WICH |
| Mar 15, 2024 | UAB 72 – 60 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#126) | 0.3 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#84) | -0.33 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#101) | -0.28 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#55) | 0.483 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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