Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -535 UNT +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +9 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -11.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (-24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -9.0 (+0.0) | 133.0 (-28.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -8.6 (+0.4) | 132.7 (-27.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -9.1 (-0.1) | 129.9 (-24.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -7.6 (+1.4) | 132.6 (-27.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UNT 76 – 69 MEM |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MEM 68 – 64 UNT |
| Feb 16, 2024 | UNT 76 – 66 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#95) | -0.8 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#144) | 0.21 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#126) | 0.02 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#126) | 0.491 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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